Monday, June 6, 2016

2016 White House Presidential Campaign: Different Strokes for Different Folks?

Keywords or Terms: Hillary Clinton; Donald Trump; Bernie Sanders; Campaign Strategies; US Presidency; Founder’s Vision and Mission; Reagan Conservatism, FDR New Era Deal; November General Election; Unifiers; Anglo-Saxons; Minority Groups; Paul Grover; Ideological Spectrum; and Political Preferences

In the context of seeking support for 2016 White House oval office, the Democratic Party and Republican Party front runners, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, have obvious differences regarding how to curry support of voters. The differences between both candidates may be found in the campaign strategies and styles. While Hillary Clinton is pitching campaign messages and seeking a heterogeneous combination of voters, mainstream and minority groups alike, Donald Trump has remained monolithic, catering majorly to the taste and preferences of White Anglo-Saxons, None Hispanic groups, that have helped him survive the fierce Republican Party competition for party nomination. Further, while it appears Hillary Clinton has been working harder in her campaign to corner voters from broader and wider dragnet of initial supporters and potential supporters, Bernie Sanders’ hardliners, Donald Trump has run into a road block of some sort, due to his unconventional campaign strategy that appears to stir emotional racial animosity in an already divided nation on many issues; including, political preferences on where America should head after the general election of 2016.

Both strategies have been discussed by political strategists, party stalwarts, international and national observers and the press, from different, if not multiple angles and each discussant’s preferences and prejudices have defined the microcosm of such discussions in the larger context of finding that ideal strategy that works, that strategy that amasses enough electoral college and probably votes to make a difference for either candidate’s ambition and election into the office of US president. What probably been exempted from discussions, is the ideological spectrum from which either campaign strategy for support and votes may survive, even among groups that are said to be completely opposed to either candidacy at this time. You are probably aware of some minority Republicans who even after being denigrated by Donald Trump’s candidacy, vow they will nonetheless vote for him, no matter what? You are also privileged to know about stalwart Super delegates who are completely dethroned to the candidacy of the former US Secretary of State.

On the surface, there is hardly anything wrong with the divergent strategies pursued by either front-runners and presumptive candidates of the two major American Political Parties in this current cycle of campaigning for the White House. Donald Trump has been successful in pivoting to low-information White Anglo-Saxons with some nationalistic flair in the Republican Party and has been successful in rallying support for his brand, except from establishment Republicans throughout the party’s primaries and caucuses. Hillary Clinton on the other hand, appears to be avoiding divisive campaign messaging, pitching an image of a unifier, one seeking a plurality of electoral college and voters who share her conviction and respect for individual differences, including respect for other socio-economic political differences that appear to divide the American voting landscape in the current cycle of presidential campaign. Whether either strategy is going to pan out for either front runner candidate from the two major American Political Parties, no one can tell at this time; only the results of the general election in November, 2016, will inform either candidate and America, especially the political parties’ big Whigs, the efficacy of these strategies.

The heterogeneity of supporters’ sort by Hillary Clinton, offer her the opportunity to be flexible in her campaign messaging, including advertisement and surrogates sent around the country to advance her candidacy for the White House. The choice to alienate, to insult and often differentiate Americans, including proposals and advancement to build a huge wall to divide the North from South America, probably have their own pitfalls; a couple that Mr. Trump and his campaign strategists probably are ignoring with the blind faith or commitment to an overwhelming, if not somewhat nationalistic messaging and fascist doctrinaire that pitches the right against the left in America; conundrums that appear to speak for why America is so “completely disadvantaged” by some of her trade deals, and the contemplation of a so-called invasion of undocumented immigrants that is grinding American Economy, depressing labor wages and salaries, undercutting the exceptionalism of America, and preventing the nation from being number one in all realms of life – the America First Doctrinaire!

Though still in early stages, the competition between the Republican Front runner and Democratic Front runner, alludes to the resilience of party’s philosophical differences. The uniqueness of ideological campaign effort and how either represents the plurality of party’s position may be found in the current philosophical differences rather than old age tested philosophy of either party. The inherent success of either candidate’s campaign strategy within their relative parties, that is, the reasons why either of their strategy worked to reach the party’s flag bearers’ status so far, may not completely be adduced to a conviction in the invisible hand of Adam Smith, as articulated by Paul Grover in his principles of Reagan’s Conservativeness: freedom, faith, family, sanctity and dignity of human life, American exceptionalism, the Founders’ wisdom and vision, lower taxes, limited government, peace through strength, anti-Communism, and belief in the individual, for the Republican de facto nominee; nor FDR New Deal legislative preference – the three R’s: relief for those out of work; Recovery – working with business and national economy; and, Reform- making changes to American institutions, to enhance the socio-economic and political status of the mass as advanced by the campaign of the Democratic front runner or de facto nominee. A campaign of exclusion as pedaled by Donald Trump smacks of any American exceptionalism, wisdom, vision and belief in individualism. Contemplations and connectivity of Hillary Clinton’s campaign efforts, said to be aligned with the successes and progress of the Obama’s Administration, are hardly pivoted to separate the American populace; corollary, neither are they pivoted or announced as the end all solution to resolving all the challenges of America’s economy, nor shaping American institutions to deliver the required progress sought by some extreme left. While respective cases may be made for either Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton’s campaign strategies, some major tenets of their campaign strategies deviate from the complete principles of Reagan Conservatism, or FDR New Era Deal, respectively.

Because there is no complete affirmation and identification of Donald Trump’s campaign for the White House oval office with Reagan Conservatism; nor, Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign with FDR New Era Deal, the precise scenario for the general election completion or transition from Obama’s Administration to either Trump’s or Clinton’s Administration after 2017, remains hazy. Should Donald Trump emerge as the New President of the United States, there is a serious danger that his alienation doctrine and or nationalistic campaign promises may lead to abuse of power. The ‘dog whistle’ politics that is synonymous with Trump’s pronouncement that US District Judge Gonzalo-Curiel’s Mexican-heritage may put him at odds in the adjudication of alleged fraud in administration of Trump’s University, is a case in point. A future “American President” who sees bias in anything and suspicious of anyone that is not in mainstream America, is a recipe or cursor to dictatorship or totalitarianism. Likewise, leadership considered as not completely trustworthy, suffers the potential of divided loyalty, between those who believe that the future president will do what is right at all times; and those, who believe that, her energies and direction of reform may be plague with cover-ups, a la private email server experience with the US State Department. Indeed, most conservative Republicans do not believe in Trump’s presidency and continue to thumb their nose on the possibility of him becoming the US President after the general election. Likewise, some Bernie Sanders’ Democrats profess bewilderment or apathy toward Hillary Clinton’s campaign for the White House oval office; and if they had their way, they will walk away from her in the general election. Thus, support for either major party flag bearer is gray, with either scrambling that their offering and or campaign proposal and strategy will top the tickets, inauspiciously avoiding the subtle wrath and displeasures with their candidacy, even within their respective party.

At the core of Donald Trump’s campaign for 2016 White House is the choice to protect the privileges and rights of mainstream Anglo-Saxon White Male, denouncements of any minority groups on bases of race, sex and religion, misogynistic caricature of females and unusual hostilities towards anyone or anything associated with undocumented immigrants. Since the kick-off of his campaign in June, 2015, Mr. Trump has remained detached from anyone or any country that does not buy into his ‘America-First’ doctrinaire. In many respect, this is a generational shift – Reagan Republican Doctrine succeeded by Trump Fascists Doctrinaire – a revolution that even conservative Republicans find abhorring and are scrambling to protect the integrity of their party from; one that continues to make establishment Republicans question themselves, where did we go wrong?  As Trump triumphant in polls during the Republican primary and caucuses, many Establishment Republicans, strategists and powerbrokers, questioned the direction of his candidacy and the implication for the image of their party. Once again, whether all these are prudent considerations, no one can tell until the general election results in November.

The philosophical campaign strategy between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders has not been daunting as exemplified with the ‘No-Trump’ versus ‘Pro-Trump’ group within the Republican Party. If Hillary Clinton accommodates the reflections of Bernie Sander’s Ultra-liberal policies in the Democratic Party 2016 platform; and or, defaults to making Bernie Sanders his Vice-president, she stands to gain a lot from the homogeneity or coming together of formerly wide spectrum of supporters’ values and positions. The last remaining symbol of probable disunity between supporters of Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, will likely pass and either Democratic Party’s competitor’s aspirations for America acknowledged as the way forward for America. These are the realities of current campaign for the White House oval office; the philosophical short coming in the Democratic Party can be abridged; and those in the Republican party, while amendable stands the risk of having a new party leader who likes to do things his own way, walk alone and dictate to people around him what will obtain. This is a very huge challenge; yes, both current supporters and non-supporters of Mr. Trump’s campaign may come together to ensure victory for the Republican party in November, but both stand the risk of having a fascist, xenophobic and misogynist leader who hardly listens to advice from people around him.

The complexities of getting the government out of the way of the American people as espoused by Reagan, may hardly be negotiated with opponents or advisors to a “President Trump.” The place of conviction in how best to get the government out of the way of the people, and who is to complete this task in government; or, how to go about building a huge wall between North and South America; and or, deporting about eleven million undocumented immigrants in America, may become a logistical nightmare, which only an invented brand of the brown shirts, will have to complete to keep the promise of Republican candidate, Donald Trump. On the other hand, the need for institutional reforms, a major aspect of the New Deal philosophy of the Democratic Party, is going to need collective commitment, loyalty, energies and trust in whatever bureaucratic reforms executed, including recasting the trade pacts to override current prejudices of likely failures of the pacts so far, creating livable wages and providing jobs that are relevant in an information age, enhancing exiting healthcare reform to correct for the abnormality found in some aspect of OBAMACARE after the implementation, reforming the judicial system so it becomes race neutral in administration, devoting time to equality of opportunities for all Americans, major and minority groups, including the LGBT community and any other hitherto disenfranchised groups. These are the challenges ahead for America in its decision to choose the next leader of the free world, the President of the United States of America.

Age and experience in party politics is a differentiating factor in 2016 general elections. Hillary Clinton’s sixty-eight years’ life has been spent in a combination of private and public service as she served as the first lady, senator policy guru and practice of the law. Mr. Trump’s sixty-nine years of life is a wealth of business experience, with some sporadic hiccups or failures in bankruptcy, which may become an ill-omen when it comes to being steady, reflective, and disciplined in managing and talking about the affairs of the state. Not many decision-making responsibilities can be easily delegated with respect to foreign affairs issues, where ultimate decisions regarding urgent development across the globe, rest with the office of the presidency. The allure or penchant for being direct, result-oriented, practicality in negotiations with US Congress and sensitivity to protecting the rights of the judiciary to adjudicate, rights of religious minorities to feel welcomed, and right of women to be appreciated as part of nation building, are paramount on the way ahead. Further, any new leader with substantially less experience in dealing with the sausage making tactics in passing bills before the US Congress, especially in domestic matters, may suffer a backlash in moving forward with many of his or her proposals and ambition for campaigning for US presidency. In addition, there is going to be a need for a leader who is able to lead the country ahead without a second thought regarding where he stands on a number of national issues. America needs a leader with the wherewithal to champion a new excellence in the information age, without being prejudicial of everyone that hardly looks like him or her. This is why it is essential, that all voters vote in the general election; no one can say this request is demanding too much from any American.

In the near term before the general 2016 elections, either major party candidate and campaign strategies are free to change or fine-tuned; and, proposals and declarations with respect to campaign efforts refocused to meet the demand of wooing a sizeable generality of electoral college. Donald Trump’s unconventional campaign strategy for the US Presidency that is consistently pushing boundaries of racial, sex and religious harmony, may garner a popular vote and fail to meet the desired number of electoral college. The goal is to have enough and required number of electoral college and hopefully, a popular number of votes that are commensurate with the electoral college to achieve the credibility or political capital to execute a dynamic presidency. If neither Clinton’s campaign or Donald Trump’s, is able to garner enough votes, it is imperative that either number of electoral college support of the candidacy heralded into office, is so preponderance that it overwhelms or upset any deficiency in popular votes; to be able to challenge the naysayers and probably, extinguish the current fratricides disputes that has engulfed establishment Republicans and the rank and file; or, current disagreements between ‘Feel the Bern’ group and Hillary Clinton’s (H) diehards, there has to be a clear electoral college victory and choice.


LC #220 Whitman's Cardboard Butterfly



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