Future Shocks for the Republican Front Runner: What the Maine Caucus Results May Mean?
The last few Republican Party primaries and causes in a couple of states have been a source of reflection and challenge for many Republican hopefuls for the party’s nomination for the November 6 contest. The successions of triumphs and failures for some candidates have been a source of encouragement and or discouragement for others. Some candidates have dealt with their failures better than others; and, while some primary and caucuses results have shown the dexterity of the front runner, Mitt Romney, others have shown a fundamental weakness in the campaign strategy of each of the candidate and the prospect for change in order to win the trophy to represent the Republicans in November, 2012. The blog today explores the implication of the Maine caucuses results for the entire slate of the Republican candidates seeking to compete against the President of the United States.
If Candidate Rick Santorum wins in Michigan, a state considered a home state for Candidate Mitt Romney, all bets are off; the race for the Republican nomination automatically becomes a toss up, as the myth of Romney as the front-runner candidate becomes a rouse. That's even not all, if Romney splits the votes in Arizona with a 30-30 spread with candidate Rick Santorum, after yielding Michigan to the same man, then the anticipated future of Mitt Romney as the eventual nominee of the Republican Party, will completely be in doubt. Anticipated, one must expect the Godfathers in the Republican Party to re-group and probably field another of their favorite candidate; as many of them have really been lukewarm regarding the slate of candidates in the race. Some pundits indicate the possibility of drafting of Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida, or Chris Christie, current governor of New Jersey, in case Romney gets knocked off the Totem Pole. These pundits can't stand the idea of a President Santorum or Gingrich! All these events are still hypothetical and things may just be more simpler than is contemplated here.
How can Mitt Romney get ahead of the pack and be considered the ultimate Republican nominee? Being proactive in ways that are not considered unacceptable to majority of the Republican base, especially the extreme right and probably the Evangelical Christians; escalating spending on positive campaign advertisements and media blitz; recruiting on college campuses, young and upward mobile Republicans who are not necessarily hard nosed conservatives; and, committing to a more consistent campaign message that dissuades current perception that he is a flip-flopper; and managing his press interviews, better than what has been happening in the past few months, where many of these have been riddled with Gaffes. Without these necessary changes, if Santorum ever decapitate Romney in Michigan, there would be no corporate contributions that would be enough to prevent his candidacy from being relegated to redundancy. Further, without a conscious effort to burnish his image from being a representative of the one-percenter rather than the remaining 99-percenter, his candidacy is doomed for good; or at best, going to face a steeper hill to win the nomination.
At the end of the coming March 6 contests, famously donned Super Tuesday, the competitiveness of all candidacies would have been appropriately or well defined. The exposure of potential voters to mean and dispirited campaign advertisements on the airwaves and televisions would have subsided and whoever is the most likely choice would have found himself in another race or challenge: convincing America that he is the right person to lead this great country, but President Obama. Delivering this type of message demands more accountability and expectations. To retain the confidence of the larger populace is more challenging and probably breath taking than just fighting to be the flag bearer for a national party. A strong sense of constructive discontent for the current economic status-quo becomes more of a question for that person, than the myopic question of who is more conservative enough to lead the Republican party.
Any of the Republican candidate today, who ends up being the nominee for the party, would find that the current acrimony within the party, is a small cake, compared with what to expect in a national contest with the Democrats. The National Press will begin to delve into the nook and crannies of the individual's past and a never-ending session of questioning the nominees' investments in foreign countries, if the nominee is Romney; or, why homosexuals must be denied their civil right, if the nominee is Santorum; or, why federal justices must be removed from bench because they have not interpreted the constitution the way the nominee likes, if the nominee is Gingrich; and, why America must choose the path of isolationism, if Ron Paul is the nominee. That's what makes America's Democracy unique and why there has never been a short list of candidates who want to rule this country. For many, to win the Presidency of the United States of America is to win the hugest lotto of all time; one that by default makes you, leader of the free world. That is why many are willing to kill or sell their mother to win the Presidency, or their party's nomination.