Keywords or
Terms: Ben Carson; Donald Trump; Jeb Bush; Marco Rubio; Republican party Flag
Bearer; Minority Groups; Religion; Race; Immigration; International Terrorism;
Florida Politics; Floridian Republicans; Ultra-conservative;
Ultra-Nationalistic; American Party; and, American Independent Party
Contrary to
establishment Republican Party expectations, and probably a generality of
predictions by presidential campaign polls watchers, Mr. Donald Trump’s
precipitous rise during the summer months and polls’ leadership during the fall
months have not abruptly ended. Republicans, as well as presidential campaign
polls watchers, are becoming accustomed to Mr. Trump’s campaign shenanigans and
are living with an uncomfortable reality that it is very unlikely the real
estate mogul is going to suffer a meltdown that may scuttle his chances of
being the Republican Party flag bearer come next year. A few pollsters, who
predicted Mr. Trump is unlikely to escape the wrought or criticisms of the
disaffected minority groups he is known, or assumed to have offended with his
campaign rhetoric, are rethinking their predictions. Neuro-surgeon Ben Carson’s
lukewarm meteoric rise in polls in the past few weeks had a few Republican voters
longing for a different polls’ leader; however, his controversial resume and a
few of his rather unsubstantiated declarations about the Paris’ unfortunate
disaster, and what the White House has at its domain information on national
security and international terrorism, have waned his allure and many potential
supporters are gyrating back to initial candidates or preferences.
In contrast
to his fellow counterpart in the Democratic Party Presidential campaigns, the
former NBC reality show host has not backed out of his initial positions on
many controversial issues, including hot-button subjects as religion, race,
immigration and international terrorism. Mr. Trump has attempted to muzzle his
critics at campaign venues as he spills out what are considered arrogant and
unwelcomed characterization of fellow Americans. And unlike Secretary Hillary
Clinton, who has apparently been reluctant to offend minority groups at her
campaigns and campaign venues, Donald Trump has refused to bow down or tone
down his criticisms of minority groups in America. There is a strong sense of
nationalism, one tinted if you might say, with some level of xenophobic
characterization, racism, and dogmatisms that have now embodied Mr. Trump’s
campaign message and close to daily ‘Tweets’ for the Republican Party
nomination.
Donald
Trump’s prominent probable alternatives for Republican Party voters, Governor
Jeb Bush and Senator Marco Rubio, are bugged down by other criticisms or baggage
that make them not really alternatives, but a second and third options or choices,
cut out of the same cloth with Donald Trump. How about Jeb Bush’s choice to
accept only Christian Syrian refugees into the US; or Marco Rubio’s
‘specialized test’ for possible Syrian
refugee immigrants? After a split and confusion among Republican voters of who
best fit to carry the Republican Party flag come 2016 general election, there is
recent evidence that the latter two presidential aspirants, Jeb Bush and Marco
Rubio, hardly differed in ideology or specifics on immigration policy and
national security. Marco Rubio has survived so far as one of the chief
beneficiaries of Jeb Bush’s conscionable restraints and brotherhood with a
disaffected former President, George Walker Bush. Donald Trump has responded to
his polls leadership by demerging other competitors with his theatrics on the
campaign trail; and Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio seem to be waiting for the first
or second shoe of Donald Trump, the current Republican Party polls leader, to
drop.
Governor Jeb
Bush has quickly attempted to refurbish his campaign messages after the second
debate with promises of respect for the minority group Donald Trump castigates
as rapists, offenders and illegal immigrants, not fit to be accepted into
America for legal immigration. Jeb Bush is strongly, if not strangely, making
himself look as the capable alternative to the government house executive
novice, Donald Trump. Marco Rubio on the other hand continues to believe, if
not so whimsically, that his youthfulness will trump the allure of Governor Jeb
Bush or Donald Trump’s poor choice in campaign words. Whatever the case, the
latter two men’s experience in the gator state, indicate that their campaigns
are already decimated by broken loyalty and promises among their homegrown
supporters in Florida.
Did you say
Florida again? After the inconclusive Presidential election voting in 2000 that
led to two term of a President that went to war with a credit card? Is the
Republican Party or America doomed to the politics in Florida? Can the similar
campaign backgrounds, or splinted loyalty from Florida Republicans, interplay
into national politics, if Donald Trump falters? These interesting questions
are bewildering to pollsters watching closely the Republican Party primary.
Perhaps the largely geriatric Florida voters, the old, retired and sun loving
crooners, can convince Republican voters to look away, or grant either of their
home grown politicians a chance at the national level. Jeb Bush or Marco Rubio
may need to concentrate on convincing their home state supporters that each is
the real deal, when it comes to alternative to the real estate mogul, Donald
Trump.
Even by the
bizarre standard of Florida voting patterns, Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio’s
ambition for the White House oval office is real salacious for board room
discussions or country clubs’ barbeques in that suntanned retirement haven. The
early pattern of splintered loyalty between these two Floridian Republicans has
provided a framework on how not to trust so much your protégé, when it comes to
vying for national offices. Governor Jeb Bush could probably write a book or two
on this one at this time. For better or worse, Senator Marco Rubio’s accession
to national politics competition, with the tutelage of former Governor Jeb Bush
will convince majority of local and state politicians to watch out for those up
and rising politicians in their neck of the woods. The presumptions of
political patriarchs have been marred forever by the current Presidential Campaign
in the Republican Party. Never again will you see a statewide stand out
politician attempt to groom a novice for greater opportunities ahead. The
reality of the new experience in national politics is probably a price to pay
for being so presumptuous or underrating of a local or state politician in the
race for a national office.
The close to
offensive and probably racist comments on the campaign trail of Mr. Trump create
an opportunity and a crack for a very viable candidate to take advantage of in
the Republican primary. The question now is this: will anyone of the fourteen
or so contenders be able to exploit this rosy opportunity? The early patterns
of polls indicate that hardly any of the Republican aspirants has been able to
come up with the magic to unravel the very much, establishment Republican Party
nightmare, or unwanted. Governor Jeb Bush’s missteps or brotherhood with
probably a failed Presidency and Senator Marco Rubio’s unlikely betrayal seems
to have broken loyalty in Florida Republican voters’ base; and hence, probably majority
of the voting blocs across the nation. As Florida Republican voters’ loyalty
remain fragmented, so does hitherto unexpected consequential of probable
disloyalty and overzealous ambition, playing into the failures of what was once
considered a viable candidacy. 2016 Jeb Bush’s campaign for the White House,
just like 2008 Hillary Clinton’s campaign for the White House, were the respective
establishment’s early candidacy. In the presidential campaign territorial nasty
turf fights and state primaries sorting out, the latter of the two failed to
win the crown in 2008; unfortunately, or fortunately today, the earlier
candidate’s campaign is weighed down by the insurgency or fierce ambition of a former
protégé.
2016
Republican Party nomination process has fallen on an unexplainable infighting
within the Republican Party, one that no one in the party, at least in Florida
Politics, is willing to acknowledge. Governor Jeb Bush; Jeb, as is fondly referred
to during his occupation of Tallahassee capitol, a first accomplishment for a Republican
governor since reconstruction; and probably through his self-chosen initiative
or plan to advance loyalty for the Republican Party brand in the gator state, appears
to have come to bite him. The future of the Republican Party brand after this
Republican Party primary is going to be a topsy-turvy. Change is going to come
to Florida Republican Party due to the experience of having Jeb Bush and Marco
Rubio on the campaign trail for the 2016 White House. Building a foundation for
the advancement of loyalty for the Republican party brand in the State of
Florida may have been a great idea when Jeb sort to groom Marco, but the Cuban
water and Texas hurricane hardly mixes; thus creating new understanding among
party members that grooming a protégé may not be working so well at this time
for the 43rd and two-term Republican Governor of Florida.
Senator Marco
Rubio is not going to wait or succeed Governor Jeb Bush by the current
infighting in Florida Republican Party. Marco Rubio is not going to succumb to
the overbearing auspices of the son and brother of former Presidents. The protégé,
whom many Florida Republicans saw as a dutiful up and coming Republican elite,
has broken away from the pack; and the currently precipitated infighting and imbroglios
appear to be breaking into national politics. If Real Estate Donald Trump wins
the Republican Party nomination, Governor Jeb Bush will probably have a
hindsight assessment that questions: had Marco Rubio not got into the race; maybe
my campaign efforts would have yielded better results? However, if Senator
Rubio ends up being the nomination, there is going to be a Florida Republican
Party fracas, never before seen in recent memory. On the flip-side, if Governor
Jeb Bush ends up being the Republican Party nominee, which seems like a long
shot at this time, there is going to be a ‘gotcha’ moment, one that writes:
Never bite a finger that feeds you!
Senator Marco
Rubio’s 2016 run for the White House has created an upheaval and political destabilization;
one hardly envisaged in local Florida Republican politics. A vision of a
blossoming Republican Party brand since reconstruction appears to be fading or
turning out to be an academic debate exercise nowadays in Florida. The extreme
conservative Floridian Republicans are uncertain about how to respond to the
two homeboys campaigning for the 2016 White House without looking or sounding
partial to either of the two. The likely bemoaned, unwanted or unsubscribed
candidacy of a Yankee Real Estate Developer, while so uncomfortable for now,
appears only the best option to fall back on, in the face of the confusion that
the probable infighting among Republican Floridian voters, appears to be
defaulting into.
Aspirant
Donald Trump is succeeding in his campaign efforts and fewer Republicans by day,
are doubting his nomination as the party’s flag bearer. Mr. Trump is sitting on
the keg of traditional conservative values of some extreme Republicans. His
openly antagonist comments and ultra-nationalist obfuscations are sounding very
palatable to many more Republicans than two months ago. His somewhat Hitler
like propagandized presidential campaign efforts are receiving sympathies from
a greater spread of the Republican Party members, especially the
ultra-conservative of the Tea party group. The time to challenge Mr. Trump’s
ultra-nationalistic brand of message is now. If mainstream Republicans fail to
do so, if they fail to call out the contentious brand of Trump’s Republican Presidential
campaign, not only will the party suffer in the general elections, it is
probably feasible that the party will go down the way of American Party of the
early 1840’s and the American Independent Party of the 1960’s.
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